he (not so) great debate over whether or not the U.S. economy is in recession rages on. No matter what media platform you choose to engage, it’s hard to avoid what has seemingly turned into a nonstop shouting match.
Research
Asset Allocation | July 2022
We’ve always considered providing context to be an important part of our job—perhaps the most important part. With a constant flow of economic data releases, we think it important to explain not only why the numbers in a given data release are what they are, but also how a given data release connects with other releases and what it all might mean for the path of the economy.
Healthcare Quarterly Q2 2022
We’ve seen a robust recovery in demand since the trough of the COVID crisis. Here in the U.S., consumer spending now exceeds its pre-pandemic trend. Other developed markets are on a similar trajectory. However, that strong demand is running headlong into supply-side challenges.
Asset Allocation | June 2022
The FOMC raised the Fed funds rate target range by 75 basis points this week, a move largely thought to be off the table a week ago but put in play by the recent inflation data.
Washington Update
We’ve seen a robust recovery in demand since the trough of the COVID crisis. Here in the U.S., consumer spending now exceeds its pre-pandemic trend. Other developed markets are on a similar trajectory. However, that strong demand is running headlong into supply-side challenges.
Ukraine Update
We’ve seen a robust recovery in demand since the trough of the COVID crisis. Here in the U.S., consumer spending now exceeds its pre-pandemic trend. Other developed markets are on a similar trajectory. However, that strong demand is running headlong into supply-side challenges.
Healthcare Quarterly Q1 2022
We’ve seen a robust recovery in demand since the trough of the COVID crisis. Here in the U.S., consumer spending now exceeds its pre-pandemic trend. Other developed markets are on a similar trajectory. However, that strong demand is running headlong into supply-side challenges.
Asset Allocation | May 2022
No, it actually isn’t—“it” being the start of the recession that many have deemed inevitable. As we noted last month, Q1 2022 GDP was destined for weakness, at least under GDP accounting conventions, with inventories and net exports teaming up to, well, do a number on real GDP growth.
Asset Allocation | April 2022
With robust and broad-based job growth, an unemployment rate of 3.6%, ongoing expansion in the factory and services sectors, and record-high household net worth, it may seem as though there is little cause for concern over the U.S. economy.
Asset Allocation | March 2022
The human cost of the situation in Ukraine is immeasurable and, for most of us, unfathomable. While by no means trying to diminish the human cost, it is nonetheless our task to try and process the economic and financial implications, the main ones we touch on here.