We’ve seen a robust recovery in demand since the trough of the COVID crisis. Here in the U.S., consumer spending now exceeds its pre-pandemic trend. Other developed markets are on a similar trajectory. However, that strong demand is running headlong into supply-side challenges.
Research
Weekly Market Commentary | March 27 2023
We’ve seen a robust recovery in demand since the trough of the COVID crisis. Here in the U.S., consumer spending now exceeds its pre-pandemic trend. Other developed markets are on a similar trajectory. However, that strong demand is running headlong into supply-side challenges.
Asset Allocation | March 2023
Over the past several weeks, there has been considerable discussion of a “reacceleration” of U.S. economic growth in early 2023. While many have made note of this, few have been able to satisfactorily explain it, particularly given that it comes after the FOMC aggressively raised the Fed funds rate in 2022 and market interest rates followed suit.
Asset Allocation | February 2023
It’s hard to know where you’re going if you’re not sure where you are. That is something we learned from experience in the dark days before the advent of GPS technology.
Weekly Market Commentary | March 20 2023
We’ve seen a robust recovery in demand since the trough of the COVID crisis. Here in the U.S., consumer spending now exceeds its pre-pandemic trend. Other developed markets are on a similar trajectory. However, that strong demand is running headlong into supply-side challenges.
Weekly Market Commentary | March 13 2023
We’ve seen a robust recovery in demand since the trough of the COVID crisis. Here in the U.S., consumer spending now exceeds its pre-pandemic trend. Other developed markets are on a similar trajectory. However, that strong demand is running headlong into supply-side challenges.
Weekly Market Commentary | March 06 2023
We’ve seen a robust recovery in demand since the trough of the COVID crisis. Here in the U.S., consumer spending now exceeds its pre-pandemic trend. Other developed markets are on a similar trajectory. However, that strong demand is running headlong into supply-side challenges.
Asset Allocation | January 2023
As far as 2023 outlooks go, that’s about as clear and concise, not to mention precise, as we can be. Consider it the triumph of experience over hope.
Asset Allocation | December 2022
If we had to pick one dominant theme in discussions of the U.S. economy in 2022, that theme would be recession. Contractions in real GDP in each of the first two quarters of 2022 triggered intense debate as to whether or not the U.S. economy was already in recession.
Asset Allocation | November 2022
Recall that when the BEA reported that real GDP had contracted in each of the first two quarters of 2022, our reaction was that underlying economic conditions were better than implied by the headline GDP numbers.